Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 175.539547 208.642173 249.372677 304.279052 378.168185 4.770167e+02 624.634012
2025-01-12 132.700548 170.735988 223.601056 306.237155 440.306793 6.673716e+02 1134.179367
2025-01-19 108.593175 146.366843 202.894220 300.176118 480.359492 8.483916e+02 1870.806885
2025-01-26 99.730086 140.428446 205.833833 329.980056 595.877575 1.279112e+03 4260.630750
2025-02-02 95.970141 140.917954 218.399612 381.227267 792.070355 2.213507e+03 16272.481221
2025-02-09 85.952570 129.059100 206.254481 378.137860 857.362651 2.897080e+03 52232.649573
2025-02-16 79.071091 121.296781 199.771594 384.947342 958.861540 4.087799e+03 724515.407374
2025-02-23 73.383417 114.700754 194.053710 391.501622 1069.266855 5.930204e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 69.013285 109.831782 190.777557 403.188669 1215.684966 9.415428e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 64.700011 104.467540 185.405664 407.420831 1341.486364 1.486479e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 59.698093 97.192931 174.659056 392.764046 1365.510167 1.962844e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 57.469657 95.071954 175.061792 412.250861 1606.881953 4.615278e+04 NaN
2025-03-30 52.609169 87.640247 163.124036 392.221559 1614.088014 7.151946e+04 NaN
2025-04-06 49.493871 83.485945 158.447029 395.883931 1809.168715 2.709975e+05 NaN
2025-04-13 46.166947 78.518558 150.970152 387.205046 1907.842703 1.502020e+06 NaN
2025-04-20 45.467142 78.923473 156.798072 430.388013 2620.232526 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 45.724006 81.391045 168.529008 506.190530 4266.816362 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 43.254211 77.549431 162.516724 501.566603 4721.205853 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 41.456414 75.036076 159.797130 511.767483 5661.990862 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 39.805657 72.690026 157.164544 521.617358 6838.368546 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 38.473771 70.947559 156.007215 539.256464 8749.196317 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 36.991092 68.710675 153.014819 545.667761 10605.185786 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 35.035132 65.195376 145.647923 523.518060 10679.849495 NaN NaN